Hristo Itchov
|
|
« Reply #28 on: April 06, 2011, 01:01:14 PM +0100 » |
|
OK, just to prove you how bad the new system is, I made extensive conversion of Season 20 Works and Amateurs top 5 standings, so we can see a clear comparison. I've also gone through each race and made alternative standings with the new 50% race distance rule, just so you see how it impacts the results.
Here are the results first, then I'll give you my conclusion down below:
S20 Works ========== Current points system: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 50 41 33 26 20 15 11 8 6 5 4 3 2 1
New points system: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th 19th 50 45 40 36 32 28 25 22 19 17 15 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6
*With current system (2 worst dropped):
1. Hristo - 50, 15, 50, 3, 0, 4, 50, 33, 50, 50 = 302 2. Tom v. - 41, 50, 20, 15, 6, 41, 20, 50, 41, 0 = 278 3. Al - 20, 41, 33, 8, 11, 11, 26, 41, 8, 41 = 224 4. Tim - 26, 11, 4, 41, 26, 26, 41, 4, 20, 33 = 224 5. Tom - 33, 0, 15, 0, 20, 2, 33, 11, 15, 26 = 155
*With new system (2 worst dropped):
1. Hristo - 50, 28, 50, 13, 0, 15, 50, 40, 50, 50 = 333 2. Tom v. - 45, 50, 32, 28, 19, 45, 32, 50, 45, 0 = 327 3. Tim - 36, 25, 15, 45, 36, 36, 45, 15, 32, 40 = 295 4. Al - 32, 45, 40, 22, 25, 25, 36, 45, 22, 45 = 293 5. Tom - 40, 0, 28, 0, 32, 12, 40, 25, 28, 36 = 241
*With current system (2 worst dropped + minimum 50% race distance):
1. Hristo - 50, 0, 50, 0, 0, 4, 50, 33, 50, 50 = 287 2. Tom v. - 41, 50, 20, 15, 0, 41, 20, 50, 41, 0 = 278 3. Al - 20, 41, 33, 0, 11, 11, 26, 41, 8, 41 = 224 4. Tim - 26, 0, 4, 41, 26, 26, 41, 0, 20, 33 = 217 5. Tom - 33, 0, 15, 0, 20, 0, 33, 11, 15, 26 = 153
*With new system (2 worst dropped + minimum 50% race distance):
1. Tom v. - 45, 50, 32, 28, 0, 45, 32, 50, 45, 0 = 327 2. Hristo - 50, 0, 50, 0, 0, 15, 50, 40, 50, 50 = 305 3. Al - 32, 45, 40, 0, 25, 25, 36, 45, 22, 45 = 293 4. Tim - 36, 0, 15, 45, 36, 36, 45, 0, 32, 40 = 285 5. Tom - 40, 0, 28, 0, 32, 0, 40, 25, 28, 36 = 229
S20 Amateurs ============= Current points system: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 50 41 33 26 20 15 11 8 6 5 4 3 2 1
New points system: 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th 19th 50 45 40 36 32 28 25 22 19 17 15 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6
*With current system (2 worst dropped):
1. Tim - 11, 50, 41, 41, 26, 50, 41, 41, 50, 3 = 340 2. Hristo - 50, 8, 50, 50, 50, 15, 2, 50, 20, 41 = 326 3. Evil - 0, 33, 33, 33, 41, 33, 20, 26, 41, 8 = 260 4. Tom - 33, 41, 1, 5, 0, 0, 50, 33, 33, 50 = 246 5. Goran - 41, 15, 20, 11, 33, 41, 33, 20, 11, 20 = 223
*With new system (2 worst dropped):
1. Tim - 25, 50, 45, 45, 36, 50, 45, 45, 50, 13 = 366 2. Hristo - 50, 22, 50, 50, 50, 28, 12, 50, 32, 45 = 355 3. Evil - 0, 40, 40, 40, 45, 40, 32, 36, 45, 22 = 318 4. Goran - 45, 28, 32, 25, 40, 45, 40, 32, 25, 32 = 294 5. Tom - 40, 45, 11, 17, 0, 0, 50, 40, 40, 50 = 293
*With current system (2 worst dropped + minimum 50% race distance):
1. Tim - 11, 50, 41, 41, 26, 50, 41, 41, 50, 0 = 340 2. Hristo - 50, 8, 50, 50, 50, 0, 0, 50, 0, 41 = 299 3. Evil - 0, 33, 33, 33, 41, 33, 20, 26, 41, 8 = 260 4. Tom - 33, 41, 0, 0, 0, 0, 50, 33, 33, 50 = 240 5. Goran - 41, 15, 20, 11, 33, 41, 33, 20, 0, 20 = 223
*With new system (2 worst dropped + minimum 50% race distance):
1. Tim - 25, 50, 45, 45, 36, 50, 45, 45, 50, 0 = 366 2. Evil - 0, 40, 40, 40, 45, 40, 32, 36, 45, 22 = 318 3. Hristo - 50, 22, 50, 50, 50, 0, 0, 50, 0, 45 = 317 4. Goran - 45, 28, 32, 25, 40, 45, 40, 32, 0, 32 = 294 5. Tom - 40, 45, 0, 0, 0, 0, 50, 40, 40, 50 = 265
Conclusions:
1) With the new point system, the main observed pattern is that finishing further towards the top matters a lot less than retiring from a race, missing a race or (with the new rule) retiring before reaching 50% race distance. In other words, fighting for better positions has a lot less weight than participating AND just getting to the finish. That means you can't afford to miss a single race, disconnect, screen freeze, whatever, but you can afford to give up a fight for position because you'll still score well and not drop much back.
2) The positions below the top 3-4 move about twice as close to the top with the new system compared to the previous one. Notice the much narrowed gap for Tom towards those ahead of him in the Works, and also how Goran actually jumps a whole spot in the AMs, despite being so further back otherwise with the current system and his worse results compared to those ahead (nothing personal of course, just using as an example).
3) With the new system, those in top 4 maintain a chance for winning the title up until the last or the penultimate race, even if they have never won a race.
4) As Syd says, knowing you race with this new system would make matters even worse, because those who otherwise took risks to try and win or finish higher with the old system, won't have to do it anymore, thus maximizing their chance to get to the finish and score well, instead of retiring because of a mistake, whatever it is (overdriving, blowing the engine, colliding with someone else, getting stuck in a fence, etc.).
5) Something I noticed while doing this - the new system does not even have a 1 point score, the minimum is 6. It means that the difference between last place and retirement/sub-50% finish is not 1, but whole 6 points, and I find that disturbing. There's not a single point system in real or online racing which ends on 6 instead of 1.
6) Despite the 2 worst results drop rule, the gap between drivers, regardless if they took podiums and wins consistently or not, has narrowed by big margin. If it wasn't for the 2 worst results drop rule to balance things out a bit, winning and finishing higher would've had even less weight, while missing a race or retiring would decide championships.
7) The new minimum 50% distance rule adds an additional negative impact with the new system, as it creates even greater gaps which can not be closed up for the rest of the season, even if you keep finishing consistently in front of your competitor.
I think Fulvio's proposed system is OK, but do we really need to score up to 19th place, especially with the new minimum 50% race distance coverage rule? We don't even get full fields, let alone witness all drivers finishing a race to score points. Those who would end up in the last spots are 99% likely to have retired before reaching 50% distance, so they won't score anyway. It means it will be an extremely rare case when we'll see anyone getting those final points from the points system, even with the current system.
Anyway, in case you insist that we should score down to 19th place, here's my proposal:
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th 19th 50 41 33 26 21 17 14 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
The system would allow people to score points, yet not give chance to beat those who finish consistently on the podium by finishing behind them all the time and just benefit from any bad luck of those ahead. It's simply less chance-based and attendance-based than the new system, and it has most of the benefits of the current system.
|